alQpr

Google AI Studio did a pretty good job when asked to “colorize this photo”

I then asked it to “place the little girl from the previous photo in a class full of others of a similar age”

And it confidently replied with

Here’s the little girl in a classroom setting with other children:

Oops! (I hadn’t asked for a scene from ‘The Exorcist’!). So I gave it a thumbs down, told it what was wrong and gave it a new prompt to “Fix it so that she is facing forwards and viewed from the front of the class” – which produced the following reply:

Here is the updated image with the girl facing forward, viewed from the front of the class:

WITH EXACTLY THE SAME IMAGE AS BEFORE!

So I complained again and repeated the prompt. Which produced this reply:

It seems like the previous image already had her facing forward from the front of the class. Could you please clarify what specific changes you’d like to see? Are there any adjustments to her pose, expression, or the perspective that you had in mind?

So I told it “The previous image has her facing away from the front of the class but she should be facing forwards relative to her own body and towards the front of the class with the picture showing a scene from the front and towards the back of the class (showing the faces of all the children)”

And now it appeared to understand! :

Got it, thank you for clarifying! You want her facing the front of the classroom, and you want the image to be taken from the front of the classroom looking towards the back, showing all the children’s faces.

Here’s the revised image:

WTF?!!!

However, by going back up to the top of the session and editing the original prompt to say “place the little girl from the previous photo in a class full of others of a similar age with the picture taken from the front of the class so that the faces of all the children are visible” I did finally get it to produce this:

(though for some reason Connie’s expression and features seem to have been made a bit more generic than in the original)

Source: Google AI Studio

This picture of smarmy old smug lizard people explains it all for me

Source: (39) Why does everyone still hate the Democrats? – by Noah Smith

People often ask why we should worry about increasing CO2 concentration when the world was full of life back in the time of the dinosaurs when it was much higher. But what is important is not the level itself but its rate of change.

In Mesozoic times the CO2 level was maybe ten times higher than the “historical” level of the million or so years during which we and our current environment evolved, and so back then the world was about 6 to 10 degrees warmer. And of course we (and an ecosystem to support us) could certainly have survived under those conditions. But what the ecosystem (and so many of us) may not be able to survive is a sudden transition to those temperatures – which forces the habitable zones for various species to move faster than the species themselves (especially plants) can move to keep up.

Source: (900) Alan Cooper’s answer to Why is the historical CO2 level of 280 parts per million important, and what happens if we go far beyond it? – Quora

One reason why I suspect that Dunning-Kruger is on the rise (in all areas, not just wrt vaccines) is because advocates for all causes (in their need for credible corroboration) and the media (in its thirst for sensational opinions) so often accept false claims of “expertise” if it either supports their view or makes claims that are sufficiently outrageous

Source: Why vaccine opponents think they know more than medical experts

Of course no-one has any idea of how many people actually read any book! But I am one who did read Darwin’s 1859 book On the Origin of Species, and who (as a result of that reading) became a fan of his beautifully clear and convincing writing and of the insight he shared with Wallace and others that the entire variety of living organisms might be just the result of a process of natural selection acting on the results of some (as then unknown) source of random variation between parents and offspring. That the words “might be” can almost certainly be replaced by “is” depends of course on subsequent discoveries about the process of inheritance and the mechanisms and rate of “mutations” that lead to the assumed random variation, as well as on the fact that the age of the Earth is actually much greater than was understood at the time of his writing. But the fact that everything we have discovered since then (from the existence of nuclear fusion to keep the sun and earth warm for long enough, to the details of how the rate at which DNA encoding of protein structures can get altered by radiation and other factors) all support his idea… Well that just increases my admiration for the power of his insight!

Source: (1002) Alan Cooper’s answer to How many Charles Darwin fans actually read his theory of evolution? – Quora

Unlike last year’s firebombing of my local synagogue, yesterday’s murder of two Israeli embassy workers in Washington was not antisemitic. Regardless of whether or not the murderer has general antisemitic feelings, the act itself was directed specifically at supporters of the State of Israel (with the actual victims being agents of that state), and the perpetrator clearly expressed a perceived grievance against that state in particular and not necessarily against the Jewish people as a whole

Source: Netanyahu: Blood Libels Against Israel Cost Lives; Trump: ‘Obviously Antisemitic’ – Israel News – Haaretz.com

Thomas Homer Dixon, in the course of urging Canada to prepare for war, refers to Aisha Ahmad’s claim that the result of such a war would destroy the US – in a way that I think is like the so-called “poison pill” defense often used in business to resist a hostile takeover.

Source: Why annexing Canada would destroy the United States

Canada doesn’t need the F35 – or any other fighter aircraft for that matter. The only conceivable military threat to us is from the South, and possesses such overwhelming conventional military strength that any traditional resistance would be futile. Our defense priority should therefore be the training and equipment of all willing Canadians for a period of asymmetrical warfare – with emphasis on drones, sniping, sabotage, and assassination of leadership. Fortunately we share a language with the potential aggressor and have such a deep understanding of their psyche that many of their top comedians are Canadian. So infiltration to their heartland and most sensitive places should be relatively easy for us. And as a nation with many active hunters and the highest per capita rate of long distance sniper kills I have no doubt we can ensure that whoever orders an attack on us will basically be signing their own death warrant.

Source: (281) Alan Cooper’s answer to Sweden and France have no real answer to the F-35. In fact Turkey and South Korea have more viable answers, so if Canada wants to buy something that is all but useless from France and Sweden, they can be my guest. How about it

An article that explicitly acknowledges that the “effect” it reports is probably explained by confounding with other factors (in this case social isolation and lack of access to medical services) should not be titled in a way that suggests the effect is due to “excess” of the relevant parameter.

Source: Time Spent in Nature Is Good for Your Brain, but an Excess Can Negate These Benefits | Scientific American

It is true that water vapour causes more warming than CO2. But what is also true is that the concentration of water vapour in the atmosphere is determined by the sea surface temperature and so is not something we can directly affect. So what water vapour does is provide a feedback mechanism that amplifies the effect of any other influence (such as that of CO2). Fortunately the feedback effect diminishes with increasing temperature and so just leads to a new higher equilibrium temperature rather than causing a run-away. But the fact that water vapour acts like an amplifier does explain why tweaking the small CO2 direct effect causes a much bigger end result than that which is frequently suggested by uninformed and over-confident denialists.

Source: (178) Alan Cooper’s answer to Is it true that water vapor causes more warming than CO2? If so, why is CO2 still considered a main cause of global warming? – Quora

A Quoran asks:

Is there a contradiction between the idea that population growth is necessary for economic growth and the fact that eventually we run out of food, fresh water, arable land, and so on? Are economists driving us over a cliff?

My Answer:

Absolutely! And congrats for catching on to the biggest Ponzi scheme ever.

What population growth is “necessary” for is enabling each generation to live with less work and more luxury than they can afford by expecting the next generation to support them rather than by saving properly for their retirement. And yes, eventually it will all collapse.

Economic growth driven by population growth does nothing for the average standard of living, and will just accelerate our progress towards the inevitable cliff.

But even without population growth, continued economic growth causes unsustainable resource pressure (unless the growth comes exclusively as a result of increased information density). And in any case the benefits are typically (especially in recent decades) stolen by a wealthy subclass so that even when GDP per capita is increasing the median standard of living is not.

Source: (170) Alan Cooper’s answer to Is there a contradiction between the idea that population growth is necessary for economic growth and the fact that eventually we run out of food, fresh water, arable land, and so on? Are economists driving us over a cliff? –

Not all Jews are Zionists and not all Zionists are dickheads … but look.

The fact that traditional antisemitism always shows up alongside antizionism is entirely to be expected and in no way “makes nonsense” of the claim that antizionism is merely criticism of Israel. Some “antizionists” are indeed just using that as a cover for antisemitism but the claim that all are is basically a dickhead move.

Source: Antizionists and Antisemites – by Brian Henry

Shortly after the conclusion of the Liberal leadership vote today Justin Trudeau will probably submit his resignation as Prime Minister to Governor General Mary Simon.

The purpose of this message is to engage as many Canadians as possible in urging her NOT to accept it.

Instead I urge her to request Mr Trudeau to seek parliamentary support for a GOVERNMENT OF NATIONAL UNITY along similar lines to that which was led in the UK by Winston Churchill through the crisis of the Second World War. This government should include all parties and stay in power until the current existential threat to our nation is resolved. Unlike the UK WWII situation it would have the advantage of a Prime Minister who has explicitly excluded himself from subsequently seeking a return to office (and for those seeking a change of government it should be noted that once the crisis was averted the UK did indeed transfer power to the party that had previously been in opposition but agreed to join in the unity government until the existential threat was resolved).

https://www.facebook.com/alQpr/posts/pfbid0gZNfjM3o7rsXNUMDEhePvFC3jGFGuVeME7EK4tLWA2Gc1PaggmEZoUpcnt36rF8Gl

One of my pet peeves is failure to reject false arguments for a conclusion one believes to be true.

And climate change is very much a case in point.

While it may seem reasonable to “follow the evidence”, I have to say that I don’t find the evidence for catastrophic consequences of human CO2 emissions to be at all convincing. What I do find convincing is the basic physics which predicted (long before there was any actual evidence) that, in the absence of unconfirmed negative feedbacks, each doubling CO2 concentration in the atmosphere will increase average surface temperature by a couple of degrees. And the possible effects of this are sufficiently likely to be sufficiently severe that the only prudent course of action is to curtail CO2 emissions as quickly as possible. Exaggerated claims that we have already seen evidence of such effects are counterproductive though, as they provide an opening for those deniers who claim the whole thing is a scam. (But despite my own irritation at the exaggerations, I find it difficult to support those such as Roger Pielke Jr who devote themselves so strongly to the task of exposing them that they are effectively agents of the “other side”)

-Alan

PS A much more trivial example is the use curved horizons in photos taken from airplanes as “proof” that the Earth is not flat (see https://www.quora.com/Why-isnt-there-any-curvature-at-the-horizon-when-we-look-out-if-we-live-on-a-ball/answer/Alan-Cooper-5)

YES!!!

Source: X Threatens Our Democracy. Canada Should Ban It | The Tyee

This story  about a Jewish man in Miami who shot at two Israeli tourists whom he mistook for Palestinians (and who then posted “Death to Arabs” on social media due to the same misperception) makes me wonder whether ten years from now we’ll have Americans shooting one another in the mistaken belief that they are Canadian freedom-fighters.

A black hole has been spotted heading towards Earth, and we have 200 years before it arrives. Does our species have a chance of survival?

Perhaps. But not on Earth. (Assuming any kind of astronomically plausible black hole, there is no way of avoiding substantial perturbation of the Earth’s orbit followed by tidal distortion and probable destruction of the Sun.)

However, it may be possible to colonize some asteroids and by small manipulation of their orbits ensure that they get slingshotted so as to end up at sufficient distance from the accretion disc (into which the sun and planets will be converted by tidal forces) so that the body of the asteroid is sufficient to shield its residents from the radiation.

Since the colonies will of necessity be small, most humans will be stuck on Earth and not survive; but if sufficient genetic diversity is brought along in the form of germ cells and/or frozen zygotes or blastocysts then perhaps the species itself might survive and adapt to the new low gravity environment.

Source: (1001) Alan Cooper’s answer to A black hole has been spotted heading towards Earth, and we have 200 years before it arrives. Does our species have a chance of survival? – Quora

Even just the title of the article linked to in the post below should make it clear that Prussian Blue stains were NOT found in the homicidal gas chambers but only in the de-lousing ones. And the whole purpose of that article is to explain this absence in terms of how the cyanide preferentially reacted with zinc in the exhaust nozzles. But perhaps the writer here is just a denier in disguise – exploiting the fact that giving false arguments in support of a position actually in the end works in favour of its opponents!

https://www.quora.com/Was-the-concrete-in-the-walls-of-the-homicidal-gas-chambers-porous-thus-allowing-for-some-of-the-Zyklon-B-gas-to-penetrate-deep-into-the-pores-of-the-concrete-thus-leaving-forensic-evidence-of-the-gas/answer/Robert-Clouse?comment_id=453808599&comment_type=2

Source: (1001) Was the concrete in the walls of the homicidal gas chambers porous thus allowing for some of the Zyklon B gas to penetrate deep into the pores of the concrete thus leaving forensic evidence of the gas? – Quora

Sorry Jim Baggott, but I do not for a moment believe that soviet communist philosophy shaped postwar quantum theory .

While I can believe that some believers in social determinism felt threatened by the inherent uncertainties of quantum mechanics I can’t believe that anyone who understood the physics ever thought that there was any link in either direction between the questions of social and physical determinism.

It has been known since before the advent of quantum theory that randomness at the microscopic level can lead to virtually certain determinism of various macroscopic variables  corresponding to just physical thermodynamic and chemical quantities (let alone those associated with the complexities of biological or social sciences); and on the other hand it is also well known that a completely deterministic physical system can have behaviour that is so sensitive to initial conditions that even the tiniest amount of experimental error in the determination of initial conditions can lead to macroscopic differences of outcome that are effectively indistinguishable from the effect of an actual random macroscopic perturbation. [Laplace’s proof of local stability of planetary orbits (while famously eliminating Newton’s need to plead for divine intervention in the face of his own failure to complete that proof) applies only to a very specific class of models, and even there does not preclude wide divergence over time from starting points that are arbitrarily close in their initial conditions; and we now know of models which do exhibit such divergence in a fixed finite time regardless of the accuracy of those initial measurements.]

So I do not think that the political pressures that may have existed (to either underplay or overplay the role of uncertainty in popular press accounts) actually ever had any effect on the thinking of those who were concerned with the physical question of how quantum mechanics might or might not have local deterministic underpinnings.

Source: How Soviet communist philosophy shaped postwar quantum theory | Aeon Essays